Friday, October 21, 2011

Week 7 Picks

Holy hell do these games stink. The league is a lot more boring without Jim Harbaugh and Andy Reid in it.

Week 7 Picks:

Atlanta at Detroit (-4):
If Jahvid Best was half the running back the Lions think he is, they'd go on a major slide without him. Instead, they'll just hand the ball off to Maurice Morris and Keiland Williams and not miss a whole lot. I do worry about that "Wide-9" defensive alignment of theirs against Atlanta's running game, but Michael Turner isn't as quick as Frank Gore. Lions 27, Falcons 20

Seattle at Cleveland (-3):
Just a hunch here. Pete Carroll has the Seahawks playing hard and at least their young guys are invested. The Browns seem to be on the verge of falling apart and I think there is a lot of infighting on the offensive side of the ball. Seahawks 20, Browns 16

Houston at Tennessee (-3):
If the Texans win here, they're the clear front-runners for the meh AFC South. I'm not gonna take them on the road against too many teams without Mario Williams and Andre Johnson though and the Titans are coming off a bye. Titans 23, Texans 17

Denver at Miami (-1):
I have no idea how the Dolphins are favored in this game. Doesn't Vegas get that they're trying to lose? On the other hand, Denver might be too. Might be worth a gander to see the Tim Tebow antics. Broncos 20, Dolphins 17

San Diego at New York Jets (+3):
The Jets as home underdogs? That's a lot of respect for a Chargers team that hasn't gotten very strong play out of Philip Rivers or much play-making from its defense. People are acting like Rex Ryans's comments were "bulletin board material" for the Chargers, but all he did was compliment their roster while putting down their coach. Half of San Diego's team probably agrees with him. I'm expecting a good game from LaDainian Tomlinson. Jets 24, Chargers 23

Chicago at Tampa Bay (in London) (-1):
Right after watching Chelsea wipe the pitch with QPR and Tottenham outlast Blackburn, the locals can take in another kind of footy and wonder what the hell the Yanks see in this bloody carnage. Lets just hope that Jay Cutler doesn't create some kind of international incident. Buccaneers 24, Bears 20 **THREE STAR SPECIAL**

Washington at Carolina (-3):
The Skins are underdogs to a one-win team? O ye of little faith for John Beck. I like how their defense matches up with Carolina. Redskins 23, Panthers 16

Kansas City at Oakland (-6):
Kyle Boller gets the start after Carson Palmer declares his arm strength isn't all the way there yet. Guess what, Carson? It's never gonna be. Chiefs crowd the box and dare Boller to beat them. Chiefs 20, Raiders 13 **TWO STAR SPECIAL**

Pittsburgh at Arizona (+4):
The last gasp for a rested and desperate Cardinals team against a Steelers defense that's been coming on but will be weary and somewhat lacking in motivation. If Kevin Kolb spazzes out in this Super Bowl rematch, the fans will turn on him for good. A shaky pick for Arizona. Cardinals 26, Steelers 24

St. Louis at Dallas (-14):
I don't care who's starting at quarterback for the Rams, the Cowboys aren't beating anybody by two touchdowns. They're not wired that way. Cowboys 27, Rams 17

Green Bay at Minnesota (+10):
Coach Leslie Frazier will keep it simple for rookie Christian Ponder by calling a lot of runs and having a conservative game plan. Then the Packers will take a 17-0 1st quarter lead and ruin everything. Packers 34, Vikings 13 **FOUR STAR SPECIAL**

Indianapolis at New Orleans (-14):
Another Super Bowl rematch, but with a bit less luster. I'm not nearly confident enough of either side of the Saints operation to lay two touchdowns. Plus, Sean Payton will have to coach from the booth. Saints 27, Colts 20

Baltimore at Jacksonville (+9):
This is the Monday night game? Really? REALLY? Good lord the people at ESPN are morons. They pay twice what NBC pays and get nothing but terrible games. At least when NBC gets a bad game it's because Peyton Manning is hurt or something they couldn't plan for. ESPN's games are just crappy from inception. The Ravens were good to me last week and I'm riding them again. Ravens 26, Jaguars 13 **FIVE STAR SPECIAL**

Last week's W-L: 8-5
Season W-L: 59-31
Week 6 Vs. Spread: 5-6-2
Season Vs. Spread: 36-49-5
Week 6 +/- Points (All games count as one point unless specified): 0
Season +/- Points: -12

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